AGP Executive Report

Sudan Conflict & Civilian Impact: Drone strikes on el-Obeid in Kordofan have killed up to 23 people and wounded others, with reports blaming the RSF; attacks also hit a funeral gathering, residential areas and a food-supply truck, disrupting schools and aid operations. Sudan War Dynamics: Human Rights Watch says Sudan’s army has recruited RSF defectors, including senior figures linked to alleged RSF war crimes during the siege of El Fasher, raising questions about amnesty and accountability. Macroeconomy Snapshot: Inflation rankings for 2026 place Sudan among the world’s highest-inflation countries, driven largely by sharp pound depreciation amid ongoing conflict. Regional Food Security Pressure: The Iran war is worsening global food insecurity, with WFP warning millions could face severe hunger as trade and fuel costs rise and UN funding shortfalls force aid rationing. EU Policy Watch: The EU Migration Pact takes effect, reshaping asylum and migration rules and intensifying debate over how Europe handles irregular migration and humanitarian obligations. Cross-Border Politics (UK/Ireland): After a Belfast knife attack involving a Sudanese suspect, UK and Irish leaders discussed strengthening the Common Travel Area’s integrity and security, with renewed scrutiny on border flows and data-sharing.

Sudan Conflict & Sanctions: US senators unveiled a bipartisan Sudan Accountability push targeting external enablers and warring factions, as lawmakers press for tighter pressure on those fueling the civil war. Food Security: The World Food Programme warned that the Iran-linked crisis and funding cuts could push 300 million people toward severe hunger, with Sudan facing longer-term impacts as fertilizer supplies get stuck and aid delivery remains strained. Armed Conflict Trends: A PRIO study says state-based armed conflicts hit 65 in 2025—the highest since WWII—citing Ukraine, Gaza and Sudan as key drivers. Belfast Fallout (Sudanese angle): Northern Ireland’s unrest after a Belfast stabbing involving a Sudanese asylum seeker has triggered renewed scrutiny of the Common Travel Area and social-media incitement, while police report arrests and stepped-up operations. Trade & Compliance: APEDA issued new rice-export procedures after China rejected some consignments, aiming to protect market access for exporters serving Africa. Anti-Smuggling (regional finance): Nigeria’s EFCC arrested airport security staff over alleged ₦4.4bn gold smuggling, highlighting how mineral flows and bulk cash move through trade corridors.

Sudan Conflict & Security: A drone strike in El Obeid, North Kordofan, killed at least 16 people on June 11, with local sources blaming the RSF; an NGO-linked report also alleges a second strike hit mourners at Dalil Cemetery and a truck carrying food supplies. Sudan Economy & Inflation: The IMF’s 2026 outlook flags Sudan’s inflation at 75.1%, placing it among the world’s worst price pressures and underscoring currency and fiscal strain. Sudan Mining & Trade Controls: Nigeria’s EFCC arrested an aviation security officer and two others at Kano airport over alleged smuggling of 22.2kg of unprocessed gold worth over N4.4bn, with recovered foreign currencies including Sudanese pounds. Humanitarian Spillovers: The World Food Programme warns the Iran war is quietly starving millions via higher food and fuel costs and disrupted trade, with severe food insecurity risks rising across multiple countries. Regional Aid & Refugees: UNHCR says forced displacement fell in 2025 for the first time in a decade, but many returns—especially to Sudan—are happening under pressure and unsafe conditions. EU Aviation Safety: The EU updated its air safety blacklist, including Sudanese carriers, meaning they cannot fly in EU skies or overfly.

Sudan Conflict & Humanitarian Fallout: Drone strikes hit central Sudan, with reports saying up to 23 people were killed in el-Obeid and at least 11 killed in a North Kordofan market attack, underscoring how unmanned warfare is worsening civilian harm and food access. Refugees & Displacement: UNHCR says forcibly displaced people fell for the first time in a decade to 117.8 million at end-2025, but warns many returns are under pressure and not to stable conditions—still including Sudan. Education for Displaced Families: Chad is integrating refugee students into the national curriculum, supported by World Bank/UNHCR funding, as host-country systems face rising demand from displacement linked to Sudan. Business & Aid Partnerships: UAE’s Arada Foundation expands its “Home for a Home” into a year-round global initiative, including building refugee shelters in Chad in partnership with UNHCR. Global Food Security Pressure: WFP warns the Iran war is quietly driving up food and fuel costs and pushing millions toward severe hunger, with spillovers reaching countries like Somalia and Afghanistan.

Belfast Unrest Fallout: Britain’s Northern Ireland secretary Hilary Benn called the two nights of anti-immigration violence “racist thuggery” after police used water cannon again, following a knife attack in which a Sudanese man was charged with attempted murder and the victim was left partly blind; officials say online lists and far-right coordination helped spark the disorder, with homes, vehicles and businesses targeted. Sudan Conflict Sanctions Push: U.S. senators introduced a bipartisan Sudan accountability bill aimed at increasing pressure on the SAF and RSF, including possible sanctions on external backers and networks tied to the war. Displacement Trends: UNHCR reported global forced displacement fell in 2025 for the first time in a decade to 117.8 million, driven by returns concentrated in Afghanistan, Sudan and Syria—though many returns were under pressure and insecurity. Regional Food Risk: The World Food Programme warned the Iran war is starving millions via higher food and fuel costs and disrupted trade, with spillovers reaching countries including Somalia and Sudan. Sudan Economy Watch: Africa’s wealth rankings highlighted Aliko Dangote’s net worth surge, underscoring how currency and market swings can reshape regional economic comparisons.

Sudan Economy & Currency: Ethiopian Airlines in Port Sudan reportedly stopped taking Sudanese pounds for ticket purchases, pushing travellers to pay in US dollars as the pound slides to about 4,000–4,100 per dollar on the parallel market, deepening pressure on trade and travel costs. Sudan Business & Finance: A Reuters-linked report highlights how disruptions to Sudan’s gold exports have fed currency weakness, while the wider war economy keeps squeezing foreign-exchange earnings. Regional Risk to Trade: The World Food Programme warns the Iran war is quietly starving millions by driving up food and fuel prices and disrupting global trade, with UN funding cuts forcing rationing—an added hit to import-dependent economies. Global Banking Stability: A study flags record conflict levels as a growing threat to the global banking system through sovereign stress, commodity volatility, sanctions complexity and cyber risk. Sudan Governance & Institutions: Jonglei State in Sudan swore in a new assembly speaker, aiming to reopen the legislature after nearly two years—an institutional step that could affect local oversight and development delivery.

Sudan-linked unrest and business hit: Belfast saw fresh damage after a 2024 riot target, with a Middle Eastern-focused supermarket burned again amid anti-immigration violence following a knife attack that left a man seriously injured; a 30-year-old Sudanese suspect was charged with attempted murder and due in court, while masked crowds torched homes, cars, a bus and businesses and forced some residents to flee. Online influence on instability: UK Labour figures accused Elon Musk and social media platforms of “driving” disorder after Musk amplified protest-location posts on X. Aid and food security pressure: The World Food Programme warned the Iran conflict and possible Hormuz disruption could push tens of millions into acute hunger, with funding cuts forcing rationing. Sudan war accountability spotlight: Human Rights Watch said the NBA’s UAE partnership risks “sportswashing” the UAE’s alleged support to Sudan’s RSF. Regional governance and Sudan diaspora links: Nepal reappointed Sudan Gurung as Home Minister after a probe, but without releasing the report publicly. Heritage near Sudan border: Egypt announced ancient water reservoirs and port infrastructure discovered at Aydhab on the Red Sea, near the Egypt-Sudan border.

Sudan Accountability in Focus: Legal Action Worldwide filed a war-crimes complaint in Kenya against Sudan’s RSF, alleging torture, rape and sexual slavery against 12 Khartoum-area victims and asking Kenyan prosecutors to pursue senior RSF commanders with links to Kenya. War’s Human Cost: A Darfur victims group says air strikes and drone attacks killed at least 470 people and injured 187 between March 2024 and January 2026, citing heavy use of foreign-made drones and warning of a war economy taking over mining and trade. Civilians Hit in Kordofan: Emergency Lawyers reported a June 6 drone strike on a North Kordofan market in Abu Zaeima killed 11 and wounded dozens, with earlier strikes also reported the day before. Regional Business Watch: Saudi Arabia qualified 24 bidders for its 10th mineral exploration licensing round across gold- and copper-rich belts spanning five regions, including new sites extending from the ninth round. Global Finance Pressure: A report warns the Iran war is starving millions via higher food and fuel costs and trade disruption, while UN funding cuts are forcing rationing of aid.

Sudan Conflict & Civilian Impact: A drone strike hit a central Sudan market in North Kordofan, killing 11 civilians in Abu Zaeima and wounding dozens, according to a local rights group; the attack follows other recent drone incidents across Kordofan that have raised fears of a widening toll in one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises. Sudan Peace Talks: Coverage notes that the shadow of the al-Bashir era still looms over Sudan’s peace process, underlining how past power structures continue to shape negotiations. Gold & Informal Mining Crackdown: Sudan introduced emergency measures to regulate traditional mining and curb smuggling, with reporting saying the sector controls around 80% of national gold output—an economic and governance flashpoint. Humanitarian Funding: The U.S. State Department awarded $240m to Catholic Relief Services for rapid humanitarian response, explicitly including Sudan among priority countries. Trade & Logistics: CU Lines launched a Turkey subsidiary to expand its shipping network under the Belt and Road initiative, linking Turkey with regional routes that include Sudan. Food Security Pressure: A UN food agency warns that the Iran war is pushing millions more toward serious hunger, with knock-on effects from higher food and fuel prices and disrupted trade. Public Health & Ebola: WHO criticised travel restrictions imposed on Uganda after Ebola-related cases, calling the measures unnecessary and harmful to public health efforts. Agribusiness: FAO urged open trade in agricultural inputs and efficient fertilizer use amid global production risks, as fertilizer shocks threaten farmers’ choices.

Sudan Conflict & Markets: A drone strike hit a central Sudan market in North Kordofan, killing 11 civilians and wounding dozens, according to a local rights group, as aerial attacks continue to worsen one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises. Mining & Gold Trade: Sudanese authorities unveiled new measures to regulate traditional mining, remove mills and basins from residential and military areas, and curb gold and drug smuggling after reports of chemical poisoning linked to unregulated extraction. Peace Process: A new Sudan peace initiative was announced in Nairobi, proposing a three-track roadmap with a renewable internationally monitored ceasefire, humanitarian steps, and a political transition tied to state reform—while seeking to exclude key Islamist leaders from politics and security-sector reform. Food Security Shock: The UN’s World Food Programme warned that the Iran war is pushing millions more into serious hunger by driving up food and fuel prices and disrupting trade, with knock-on effects across vulnerable countries. Ebola Response Tech: Molbio Diagnostics deployed portable PCR testing to support Ebola outbreak response in the DRC and Uganda, aiming to speed up diagnosis in decentralized health settings.

Sudan Conflict & Civilian Harm: A drone strike hit the main market in Abu Zaeima, Hamrat al-Sheij locality in North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and wounding dozens, with the death toll feared to rise; the attack followed similar strikes on nearby villages and a civilian vehicle, as Sudan’s drone warfare toll continues to climb. Traditional Mining Crackdown: Sudanese authorities unveiled measures to regulate traditional mining, remove mills and basins from residential and military areas, and tighten control of gold markets after reports of deaths linked to mining chemicals; the plan includes awareness campaigns and ID cards for miners to curb smuggling and illegal drug production. Sudan Peace Talks: A new Sudan peace initiative launched in Nairobi proposes a three-track roadmap combining humanitarian steps, a renewable internationally monitored ceasefire, and a political transition tied to state reform, while seeking to exclude key Islamist leaders from politics and security-sector reform. Regional Business/Industry (Egypt): Egypt’s PM Mostafa Madbouly inaugurated and inspected multiple industrial projects in Alexandria’s Borg El Arab zone, including a new Lipton production line and other factory openings aimed at boosting manufacturing, exports, and jobs. Humanitarian Aid (Qatar): Qatar Red Crescent’s Eid al-Adha campaign reached 247,344 beneficiaries in Qatar and 13 countries including Sudan, distributing sacrificial meat via local partners.

Drone Attacks in North Kordofan: A drone strike hit Abu Zaeima’s main market in Hamrat al Sheikh, North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and wounding dozens, with a rights group warning the toll could rise; the attack followed similar strikes on nearby villages and a civilian vehicle, as aerial attacks intensify across Kordofan. Humanitarian Aid Reach: Qatar Red Crescent Society’s Eid al-Adha “MakeTheirEid” campaign delivered sacrificial meat to 247,344 beneficiaries in Qatar and 13 countries including Sudan, using local partners for timely distribution. Sudan Gurung Probe Update: After a committee cleared Sudan Gurung, speculation grows over his possible return to the Home Ministry; Gurung says that if reappointed, people should avoid visiting the ministry for the first two months. Regional Context for Business: Ethiopia wrapped up its 7th general election amid claims of orderly voting, while the wider region continues pushing economic reforms and partnerships—an environment that matters for trade and investment planning. Industrial Investment Watch: Egypt’s PM Madbouly toured Alexandria’s Borg El Arab industrial zone, highlighting new factory openings and expansions aimed at boosting exports and jobs.

Drone Attack Toll in North Kordofan: A drone strike hit the Abu Zuaima market in Hamrat al Sheij, North Kordofan, killing at least 11 and injuring dozens, as aerial attacks keep worsening Sudan’s already collapsing humanitarian situation. Hunger Pressure Mounts: The UN World Food Programme warns the Iran conflict and high energy prices are pushing millions more toward acute hunger, with spillovers expected to hit fragile economies including Sudan. Inflation and Cost-of-Living Strain: Reports say triple-digit inflation is returning to haunt the economy, adding fresh pressure on households already squeezed by war-linked shortages. Eid Aid Reaches Sudan: Qatar Red Crescent’s Eid Al Adha campaign says it reached 247,344 beneficiaries across 14 countries, including Sudan, with meat and support for displaced and vulnerable families. Humanitarian Funding Boost: The US approved $240m for humanitarian assistance via Catholic Relief Services, with Sudan listed among beneficiary countries. Security and Markets Disrupted: Witnesses also report a drone hit on a fuel station in el-Obeid, underlining how attacks are disrupting basic services and trade.

Sudan Conflict & Humanitarian Impact: A drone strike hit the main market in Abu Zaeima in North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and wounding dozens, according to Emergency Lawyers, with reports of further drone attacks including a fuel-station hit in el-Obeid. Aid & Food Security: The UN World Food Programme warned that the Iran war is pushing millions more into acute hunger, citing added pressure on food and fuel prices and trade disruptions, with Sudan listed among major hunger hotspots. Refugees & Livelihoods: KOICA and WFP said a $6m programme in Egypt trained 14,000+ refugees and host community members in market-driven skills and microgrants, helping 5,600+ find jobs and raising household income. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Germany held talks in Cairo on African affairs, regional stability, and Sudan peace efforts, focusing on the Nile Basin, Horn of Africa, Sahel and Sudan. Peacekeeping Recognition: Bangladesh’s UNISFA peacekeepers killed in a 2025 drone strike in Sudan were posthumously awarded the Dag Hammarskjöld Medal.

Humanitarian & Food Security: The UN World Food Programme says the Iran war is pushing millions toward acute hunger, warning that higher energy and food prices plus trade disruption could worsen conditions even if tensions ease; it cites an added 2.5m in Somalia, 2.3m in Afghanistan and 1.3m in Sri Lanka. Aid & Livelihoods in Sudan: The African Development Bank and WFP signed an $87m BOOST project to strengthen agrifood systems resilience in Sudan, targeting farmers in Sennar and Blue Nile to cut post-harvest losses, restore production and improve incomes amid crisis-level hunger. Sudan Conflict Impact: MSF reports a sharp rise in drone attacks on civilians along Sudan’s border with Chad, treating 116 wounded in five weeks, including women and children, after repeated strikes around Tina. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Germany held talks in Cairo focused on African affairs and Sudan, stressing security and development as linked paths to stability. International Spotlight: Six Bangladeshi UNISFA peacekeepers killed in a 2025 drone strike in Sudan’s Kadugli were posthumously awarded the Dag Hammarskjöld Medal.

Sudan War Accountability: A Sudanese army leadership is being pushed into the spotlight over alleged systematic attacks on civilians, with rights groups pointing to repeated shelling of markets, hospitals and schools in Khartoum, Omdurman and Bahri. Border Security & Humanitarian Cost: MSF says drone attacks near Sudan’s Chad border town of Tina have surged since May, treating 116 wounded in five weeks, including women and children, after repeated strikes including a crowded market cafeteria hit. Food Systems & Jobs: The AfDB and WFP launched an $87m BOOST project to strengthen agrifood resilience in Sudan, targeting farmers in Sennar and Blue Nile to cut losses, restore production and improve incomes amid hunger affecting over 19m people. Refugees & Trade-Offs: Egypt rejects a Guardian report on Sudanese refugees, saying it has hosted large numbers since 2023 and that Sudanese arrivals are integrated into education, employment and business rather than camps. Governance & Assets Probe: A committee investigating former home minister Sudan Gurung has submitted a 45-page report to Nepal’s PM, focusing on share investments and asset disclosures. UK Education Policy: The UK tightens rules that could strip universities of the right to recruit foreign students if visa refusals, dropouts or course completion fall below new thresholds.